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Press Release

For Immediate Release
April 11, 2005
Contact: Joseph J. Mangano, MPH MBA
National Coordinator
Radiation and Public Health Project
Telephone 610 666-2985
Odiejoe@aol.com

LIMERICK NUCLEAR REACTOR EMISSIONS
AND THE POTENTIAL LINK TO LOCAL CANCER RATES

1. Limerick History and Percent Time in Operation
The Limerick nuclear power plant consists of two reactors. Both were announced by the PECO company in 1969; but because of construction delays and public opposition, much time elapsed before the plant began producing electricity. Limerick Unit 1 achieved initial criticality (began producing nuclear power, at limited capacity) on December 22, 1984, while Limerick Unit 2 went critical on August 1, 1989. Each has a license to operate for 40 years from the U.S. Nuclear Regulatory Commission (NRC).

In their first years of operation, the Limerick reactors were closed fairly frequently due to mechanical problems. But from 1999-2005, the reactors were operational 96.7% and 96.3% of the time, according to the NRC (data through February 2005). While the economic benefits of high operating rates are clear, the question of whether running aging reactors more of the time is also raised.

2. Philadelphia Region Has Most Reactors in U.S.
The Limerick plant lies about 21 miles northwest of central Philadelphia. But 13 nuclear reactors are within 90 miles of the city (see Table 1). The Philadelphia area has the largest concentration of nuclear reactors in the U.S., along with northern Illinois.

Table 1
Nuclear Reactors Located Proximate to Philadelphia
Reactor Location From Phila. Startup
ID Reactor Location From Phila. Startup Closed
1 Limerick 1 Pottstown PA 20 mi. NW 12/22/84
2 Limerick 2 Pottstown PA 20 mi. NW 08/01/89
3 Salem 1 Salem NJ 25 mi. SW 12/11/76
4 Salem 2 Salem NJ 25 mi. SW 08/08/80
5 Hope Creek Salem NJ 25 mi. SW 06/28/86
6 Oyster Creek Forked River NJ 50 mi. E 05/03/69
7 Peach Bottom 1 Delta PA 60 mi. SW 03/03/66 10/31/74
8 Peach Bottom 2 Delta PA 60 mi. SW 08/07/74
9 Peach Bottom 3 Delta PA 60 mi. SW 08/07/74
10 Three Mile Is. 1 Middletown PA 85 mi. W 06/05/74
11 Three Mile Is. 2 Middletown PA 85 mi. W 03/27/78 03/28/79
12 Susquehanna 1 Berwick PA 90 mi. NW 09/10/82
13 Susquehanna 2 Berwick PA 90 mi. NW 05/08/84
  Source: U.S. Nuclear Regulatory Commission, www.nrc.gov

3. Environmental Levels of Radiation
The U.S. Environmental Protection Agency measures levels of radioactivity in the air, water, precipitation, and milk in various stations around the U.S. The station closest to Limerick is Wilmington DE, about 30 miles to the southeast. One measure that approximates total radioactivity is gross beta in precipitation, measured each month. Gross beta refers to all radioactive chemicals that emit beta particles vs. alpha particles or gamma rays.

During the 1990s, the average concentration in gross beta in Wilmington was 2.11 picocuries per liter of precipitation. But in the period 2000-2003, the average had risen to 2.43 picocuries. Thus, environmental radioactivity in precipitation rose 15.2% from the 1990s to the 2000s, and the question of whether additional radioactivity from operating reactors more frequently is raised.

4. In-Body Levels of Radiation
In 1998, the Radiation and Public Health Project (RPHP), a professional research group, began the only large-scale program measuring radioactivity levels in the bodies of persons living near nuclear reactors. The Tooth Fairy Project was designed to collect baby teeth and measure concentrations of Strontium-90, a chemical produced only in nuclear weapons and reactors. The study was structured similar to a 1960s study by Washington University in St. Louis, measuring Sr-90 levels in teeth from atomic bomb test fallout.

RPHP has collected and tested over 4,400 baby teeth, and has published its findings in four medical journals. Most teeth are from areas near seven nuclear plants in six states, including Limerick. Pennsylvania residents donated 150 teeth to the study. To date, Pennsylvania has the highest Sr-90 levels in baby teeth of any state, and the Limerick area has the highest Sr-90 levels near any nuclear plant.

Other important findings include a rise of 26.2% in average Sr-90 concentration in the baby teeth of children living in Berks, Chester, and Montgomery Counties (closest to Limerick) from 1986-91 to 1992-96. The rise in Sr-90 in baby teeth correspond to the period of greater use of the aging Limerick reactors, and higher local levels of environmental radiation.

Average Sr-90 levels also vary by distance from Limerick. Children in Pottstown had an average level of 5.70 picocuries of Sr-90 per gram of calcium, compared to 4.21 in the rest of the tri-county area, and 3.27 in the Philadelphia region (Table 2). Still, the 19 teeth from Philadelphia children were comparable to areas near reactors in other states.

Table 2
Average Strontium-90 Levels in Baby Teeth
In Pennsylvania Children
Area Zip Codes Teeth Average Sr-90*
Pottstown 19464, 19465 37 5.7
Other tri-county zip codes beginning 193, 194, 195, 196 55 4.21
Philadelphia zip codes beginning 190, 191 19 3.27
Other PA   18 3.36
TOTAL PA 129 4.38
* Average picocuries of Strontium-90 per gram of calcium at birth. Excludes 3 teeth from children with cancer; 12 teeth for which an accurate measurement could not be made; and 6 teeth from children born before 1980. Source: Radiation and Public Health Project.

5. Increases in Cancer Rates in Local Children After Limerick Startup
Even though radiation exposure affects all humans, it is most harmful to the developing fetus, infant, and small child. Cells divide more rapidly early in life, and a cell damaged by radiation is more likely to duplicate in a fetus, infant, or child. In addition, the immune system is still underdeveloped in early stages of growth.

Previous studies in radiated populations show that children can begin to develop additional cancers several years after exposure. Thus, an examination of childhood cancer rates near Limerick before and after the plant began operations is in order. Table 3 compares cancer death rates for children under age 15 for 1984-1990 and 1991-2002. Childhood cancer mortality increased in both Montgomery and Philadelphia counties for leukemia (16.0% and 46.4%) and all cancers (48.0% and 22.3%). During the same period, national rates of childhood cancer deaths dropped sharply, making these findings significant. Childhood cancer in the two counties went from below to well above national rates after Limerick startup.

Table 3
Change in Cancer Death Rates
After Limerick Startup
Children Age Under 15
Montgomery and Philadelphia Counties

County
No. Deaths
Population
Rate/100,000
% Ch
84-90
91-02
84-90
91-02
84-90
91-02
All Cancers
Montgomery
24
70
882821
1739310
2.72
4.03
48
Philadelphia
67
140
2303437
3936002
2.91
3.56
22.3
U.S.        
3.83
3.06
- 20.3
Leukemia
Montgomery
7
16
882821
1739310
0.79
0.92
16
Philadelphia
18
45
2303437
3936002
0.78
1.14
46.4
U.S.        
1.25
0.91
- 27.6
Source: U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, http://wonder.cdc.gov, underlying cause of death. ICD-9 codes for 1984-1998 include 140.0-239.9 for all cancers and 204.0-208.9 for leukemia. ICD-10 codes for 1999-2002 include c00-d48.9 for all cancers and c90.1-c95.9 for leukemia. All changes statistically significant at p<.05, except for Montgomery County increase in leukemia mortality.

Cancer incidence in children under 15 can also be tracked beginning in the early years of Limerick operation. Since the late 1980s, both Montgomery and Philadelphia County cancer rates have only increased minimally (up 4.5% and 2.2%, respectively). But rises in leukemia incidence has soared 27.7% and 47.5%, compared to a national decline of 0.7% (Table 4).

Table 4
Change in Cancer Incidence Rates
After Limerick Startup
Children Age Under 15
Montgomery and Philadelphia Counties
County
No. Deaths
Population
Rate/100,000
% Ch
  85-89 90-02
85-89
90-02
85-89
90-02
All Cancers
Montgomery
93
289
628858
1869153
14.79
15.46
4.5
Philadelphia
225
595
1646870
4263412
13.66
13.96
2.2
U.S.
13.92
14.49
4.1
Leukemia
Montgomery
21
81
628858
1869153
3.39
4.33
27.7
Philadelphia
44
168
1646870
4263412
2.67
3.94
47.5
U.S.
   
4.40
4.37
- 0.7
Sources: Pennsylvania Cancer Registry, www.health.state.pa.us, health statistics (Montgomery and Philadelphia data). SEER Cancer Statistics Review, www.seer.cancer.gov (U.S. data). Only change in leukemia for Philadelphia County is statistically significant.

6. Philadelphia Cancer Death Rate Highest of 60 Most Populated Counties
In addition to children, adults can be harmed by radiation exposures like emissions from nuclear plants. While the lag between exposure and cancer may take decades in adults, it is useful to examine local cancer rates. For the most recent period (1999-2002, or nearly two decades since Limerick began operations), the total cancer death rate for Philadelphia County was compared with rates for the 60 most populated counties in the U.S., all of which had at least 790,000 residents as of July 1, 2003. A total of 95,857,114 persons, or about one-third of all Americans, live in these areas.

Table 5 shows that of the 60 most populated counties, Philadelphia has the highest cancer death rate from 1999-2002. It ranks highest for whites, and third highest for blacks. Its rate of 254.9 deaths per 100,000 persons is 26% higher than the U.S. rate. Table 6 and 7 show that for each age group in whites and blacks, the Philadelphia cancer death rate exceeds the national rate. While radiation exposure may be only one factor in these patterns, it nonetheless should be considered as a potential contributor.

Table 5
Cancer Death Rates, 1999-2002
60 Most Populated U.S. Counties
Ranked by Highest Cancer Rate
Rank County Est. Pop.
Cancer Death
   
July 1, 2003
Rate
Deaths
Whites
Blacks
1 Philadelphia PA
1479331
254.9
16355
1
3
2 Marion IN
863251
236.8
7274
3
1
3 Duval FL
817480
229.9
6233
2
31
4 Shelby TN
906178
229.7
6874
26
4
5 Wayne MI
2028778
227.1
17755
8
20
6 Franklin OH
1088944
226.9
7851
4
12
7 Hamilton OH
823472
226.6
7989
7
6
8 Prince George MD
838716
222.4
5128
5
32
9 Cuyahoga OH
1363888
222.0
14558
12
8
10 Milwaukee WI
933221
219.8
8230
9
15
11 Allegheny PA
1261303
218.7
14761
10
2
12 Essex NJ
796313
217.2
6601
23
18
13 Cook IL
5351552
216.8
43638
18
5
14 Fulton GA
818322
213.8
5184
52
10
15 Clark NV
1576541
213.3
10385
6
28
16 Hillsborough FL
1073407
211.1
8134
14
11
17 Erie NY
941293
210.1
9601
15
17
18 Suffolk NY
1468037
208.3
11516
11
34
19 Harris TX
3596086
204.8
18689
25
9
20 Middlesex MA
1471724
204.3
12306
13
56
21 Dallas TX
2284096
204.2
12762
33
7
22 San Bernardino CA
1859678
202.3
10076
16
35
23 Tarrant TX
1559148
201.7
8548
24
14
24 St. Louis MO
1013123
201.2
9055
31
13
25 New Haven CT
841873
200.0
7532
22
27
26 Orange FL
964865
199.6
5913
19
48
27 Sacramento CA
1330711
199.4
8891
17
24
28 Oakland MI
1207869
195.8
8871
29
22
29 Bergen NJ
897569
195.7
8276
20
36
30 Hennepin MN
1121035
194.8
7957
29
21
31 Hartford CT
871457
194.3
7701
30
46
32 Pinellas FL
926146
191.1
11272
37
41
33 Bronx NY
1363198
190.4
8448
21
52
34 Alameda CA
1461030
189.9
9509
28
16
35 Riverside CA
1782650
189.3
11520
38
33
36 DuPage IL
925188
189.2
5830
27
54
37 Broward FL
1731347
189.0
15234
36
50
38 New York NY
1564798
188.6
11585
42
39
39 Bexar TX
1471644
188.2
8902
41
26
40 King WA
1761411
187.7
11719
35
30
41 San Diego CA
2930886
187.2
18976
34
38
42 Contra Costa CA
1001136
187.0
6799
39
29
43 Nassau NY
1339463
186.8
11548
40
49
44 Fairfield CT
899152
184.9
6999
46
40
45 Westchester NY
940302
184.2
7554
47
43
46 Fresno CA
850325
184.1
4797
43
19
47 Maricopa AZ
3389260
183.4
21055
45
42
48 Travis TX
857204
181.6
3615
51
23
49 Ventura CA
791130
179.9
4704
44
47
50 Palm Beach FL
1216282
178.9
13285
49
45
51 Los Angeles CA
9871506
177.1
54893
50
25
52 Kings NY
2472523
176.5
16149
53
51
53 Orange CA
2957766
173.5
16554
48
53
54 Fairfax VA
1000405
171.2
4861
56
37
55 Miami-Dade FL
2253362
170.8
16188
58
44
56 Queens NY
2225486
163.1
14728
55
58
57 Santa Clara CA
1678421
160.7
8789
57
55
58 Salt Lake UT
924247
156.9
3935
59
59
59 Honolulu HI
902704
152.5
5652
54
60
60 Montgomery MD
918881
149.4
5007
60
57
  United States
291000000
202.3
2267680
Sources: U.S. Census Bureau, www.census.gov, state and county quick facts (population data). U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, http://wonder.cdc.gov, underlying cause of death (cancer data). ICD-10 codes for cancer include c00-d48.9. Rates adjusted to 2000 U.S. standard population.

 

Table 6
White Cancer Death Rates
Philadelphia County vs. U.S.
By Age, 1999-2002
Age
Deaths
Population
Rate/100,000
% Philadelphia is Above U.S.
     
Philadelphia
U.S.
0-14
24
501435
4.8
2.9
64.7
15-24
25
437163
5.7
4.6
25.3
25-34
54
449758
12
10.1
18.8
35-44
200
421915
47.4
35.7
32.8
45-54
629
378211
166.3
122.6
35.6
55-64
1288
275796
467
358.7
30.2
65-74
2320
238502
972.7
819
18.8
75-84
3209
207027
1550
1357
14.2
85+
1699
78194
2173
1859
16.9
TOT
9448
2988001
241.8
200
20.9
Source: U.S. Centers for Disease Control, http://wonder.cdc.gov, underlying causeo f death. Uses ICD-10 codes c00-d48.9. Percent statistically significant for age groups 35-44, 45-54, 55-64, 65-74, 75-84, 85+ and total. Total rate adjusted to 2000 U.S. standard.

 

Table 7
Black Cancer Death Rates
Philadelphia County vs. U.S.
By Age, 1999-2002
Age
Deaths
Population
Rate/100,000
% Philadelphia is Above U.S.
     
Philadelphia
U.S.
0-14 19 711432 2.7 2.8 -6.1
15-24 15 395932 3.8 5 -24.8
25-34 61 369591 16.5 12.8 28.9
35-44 238 408505 58.3 53.4 9.2
45-54 761 326630 233 190 22.6
55-64 1265 212295 595.9 502.6 18.6
65-74 1878 165378 1136 1009 12.6
75-84 1791 100402 1784 1584 12.6
85+ 688 31480 2186 2021 8.2
TOT 6716 2721645 285.1 250.2 13.9
Source: U.S. Centers for Disease Control, http://wonder.cdc.gov, underlying cause of death. Uses ICD-10 codes c00-d48.9. Percent statistically significant for age groups 45-54, 55-64, 65-74, 75-84, and total. Total rate adjusted to 2000 U.S. standard.

 

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